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Scenarios of Occupy Central Movement: Will Hong Kong Continue to be Ungovernable?


The Occupy Central Movement (OCM) has begun in Hong Kong since September 28, leading to tense confrontations between protestors and the police. The Occupy Central Movement is now characterized by (1) the fragmentation of protestors into student groups and OCM supporters in Admiralty, leftwing and loosely organized democrats in Mongkok, and the pan-democrats inside the Legislative Council; (2) the change in police tactics of handling protestors; (3) the political sandwiched position of the Hong Kong government between a strong society and a strong central government; and (4) the unchangeable decision of Standing Committee of the National People's Congress in late August 2014 on the election method of the Chief Executive in 2017. Will Hong Kong' s ungovernability persist in the coming months and years? What will be the outcomes of the OCM?

As a veteran observer and researcher in Hong Kong politics since the mid-1980s, Professor Sonny Lo will offer some short-term, medium and long-term scenarios for your critical thoughts and self-reflections on what Hong Kong will be like in the coming months and years leading up to 2047.


Prof LO Shiu Hing Sonny
Professor, Department of Social Sciences, The Education University of Hong Kong
Sonny Lo is the Professor and Head of the Department of Social Sciences, Co-Director of the Centre for Governance and Citizenship and the Centre for Greater China Studies at the EdUHK.